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20-12-2012
MODEST
international working
group on
MODelling of Economies and Societies
in Transition
Co-ordinators:
Zbigniew Nahorski and Jan W. Owsiński
nahorski@ibspan.waw.pl
owsinski@ibspan.waw.pl
Newelska 6, 01-447 Warszawa, Poland; Facsimile: (48 22)
38 10 105
Newsletter
sent out irregularly, mainly
on the basis of what's new
Edited etc. by Jan Owsiński
Issue no. 15, Autumn/Winter
2011/2012
Merry Christmas and a Happy New Year to all of you!
Please note:
MODEST 2012 in
Warsaw on September 17th-19th, 2012,
Monday through
Wednesday,
at Palais Staszic
Contents:
1.
MODEST 2010 meeting in Bydgoszcz and the publication therefrom
2.
Invitation to MODEST 2012 in Warsaw
3.
Proposals and suggestions
1.
MODEST 2010 meeting in Bydgoszcz and publication therefrom
The last MODEST Workshop took place,
traditionally affiliated with the bi-annual BOS conference, BOS 2010, on
September 20-22 (Monday through Wednesday) 2010 in Bydgoszcz, an important
city in central-northern Poland (some 200 km to the North of Warsaw). This
(broader) meeting was organised jointly with the Systems Research Institute
of the Polish Academy of Sciences and the University of Technical and
Natural Sciences in Bydgoszcz. The themes, envisaged for the MODEST meeting
were:
"ICT and (local) development" -
largely based on the already existing bilateral Polish-French cooperation,
but, of course, all of those interested were invited to join
"Banking & finance: trust,
connectivity and resilience" - against the background of the recent and
the currently looming international crises, but not only...
"Environment & economy: getting rid of
paradoxes, political agenda and the dirt?" - have we learned anything new
as of late?
The Workshop brought very interesting
presentations and discussions, which extended well beyond the very location
in Bydgoszcz into the trains between Bydgoszcz and Warsaw. In particular,
the idea of trying to set up an international project was considered as a
serious undertaking for MODEST. It should be added that discussions during
the Workshop, besides the three themes above, concentrated also on the
subject of culture as the essential condition for the character and quality
of the development and transition paths.
The publication from the meeting appeared
as an English language issue of a Polish periodical Studies and
Proceedings – Polish Association for Knowledge Management, no. 34,
guest-edited by Jan W. Owsiński, under the title of: MODEST: MODelling of
Economies & Societies in Transition – ICT and its impacts – economy –
environment – patterns in management, 2010, 118 pages. ISSN 1732-324X. The
issue contains the following papers:
Amel Attour and Christian Longhi:
Local innovation policies in services: the role of
municipalities in the implementation of e-government
Jan W. Owsiński, Aneta M. Pielak,
Krzysztof Sęp and Rafał Ponichtera: TIROLS: local
Web-based networks centred on self-governmental websites vs. local
activity – a project outline
Helena Lindskog, Staffan Brege and Per
Olof Brehmer: Consequences of electronic public
procurement
Ken Morita and Yun Chen:
Transition, disparity and efficiency: on the Yangtze River
Delta models of transition
Jan Gadomski and Zbigniew Nahorski:
Impact of the emission limiting policy on
technological conversion and macroeconomic structure
Piotr Wojewnik and Kamil Zarychto:
The impact of happiness capital on economic
growth
Wojciech Kozłowski and Piotr Piękoś:
Identification of simple monetary policy rules
with the use of heuristic methods of data analysis
Artur Płuska and Przemysław Szufel:
Determinants of the maturity structure of the
public securities issuance
Agnieszka Główka, Justyna Jodis and
Tomasz Szapiro: Generation of decision rules
binding managers’ remuneration and firms’ financial efficiency
If your are interested in receiving the
issue for the mailing cost only, please, address Jan Owsiński,
owsinski@ibspan.waw.pl who shall
transmit the request to the journal office.
2.
Invitation to MODEST 2012 in Warsaw
The subsequent MODEST Workshop shall take
place in Warsaw, on September 17th-19th, 2012 (Monday
through Wednesday), at Palais Staszic, in the very heart of historical city
core. It will be, as usual, affiliated with the bi-annual BOS Conference of
the Polish Operational and Systems Research Society, BOS 2012. We would like
to run the Workshop as a series of sessions within the BOS conference,
gaining through interaction with this broader forum.
The proposed themes for the Workshop – not
precluding any other issue, pertaining to modelling and analysis of the
transformation phenomena – are (i) the continuing crisis and its
impact for the transforming economies (and, indeed, the more general
transformations needed); (ii) the actual status and role of the
information society / knowledge economy paradigms under different change
circumstances; and (iii) the summary net impact and mechanisms of the
greening of economy.
We indeed look forward to your active
contributions and participation in the event.
3.
Proposals and suggestions
In addition to the themes for the upcoming
MODEST Workshop, we return to the possible subjects of jopint work within
the MODEST community. Thus, in the previous Newsletters we forwarded some
suggestions concerning the potential fields of collaboration, e.g. within
the framework of bilateral or European projects. We come back herewith to
these ideas, with additional information and one more domain of potential
joint work. Let us emphasise that in all those fields not only definite
research work is, of course, being carried out, but, actually, some
collaborative work is, as well, underway.
These activities, and the related ideas,
concentrate around the following four themes (which, of course, do by no
means limit the potential scope of concepts for future collaborative work):
modeling for the evaluation of the
consequences of and design of changes in the Common Agricultural Policy;
there are already a number of models that supposedly do the job, but what
virtually all of them lack is the micro- or landscape, or community
dimension (or, at a bare minimum – the one of a municipality); on the other
hand there is also a gap on the real macro scale meaning aggregate effects
for the EU and the world; in conditions of the current crisis the knowledge
of potential consequences of various policies and instruments at the scale
of the real processes, and not only somewhat abstract aggregates, becomes
even more important;
assessing and modeling the role of ICT in
development (place and role in the feedback loop), especially in terms of
development dynamics from various starting points, and the possibility of
short-cuts; here, as well, the local and regional dimension is of
importance; again, this applies equally to the macro- and the real micro-
dimensions, in economic and spatial terms;
modeling the consequences of policies
related to the “green paths”, and the possibility of making (or leaving open
and effectively available) the truly “optimum” choices and avoiding the
“green paradoxes”, without bearing too much of economic and social costs
that would impair short- and medium-term competitiveness; this involves an
intricate interplay of time horizons, investment and risk, mainly associated
with energy; the recent events on the world scene, oil prices and
global-warming-related undertakings included, show it very clearly that the
respective models are indeed necessary, and, at that, a variety of them,
that could grasp the different aspects and perspectives on these issues;
development of the methodologies related
to decision making under uncertainty in situations of emergency, with the
use of decision rules, decision trees, fuzzy and intuitionistic logic, and
respective linguistic representations; this set of methodological tools
might be of high value in devising decision support systems for the
high-risk operations with limited information and high uncertainty.
Should you be interested in collaboration
on these themes, or in coining other ones of potential interest to members
of MODEST, please, contact us about it.
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