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international working group on

MODelling of Economies and Societies in Transition



Zbigniew Nahorski and Jan W. Owsiński

Newelska 6, 01-447 Warszawa, Poland; Facsimile: (48 22) 38 10 105





sent out irregularly, mainly on the basis of what's new

Edited etc. by Jan Owsiński


Issue no. 15, Autumn/Winter 2011/2012


Merry Christmas and a Happy New Year to all of you!


Please note:

MODEST 2012 in Warsaw on September 17th-19th, 2012,

Monday through Wednesday,

at Palais Staszic



1.      MODEST 2010 meeting in Bydgoszcz and the publication therefrom

2.      Invitation to MODEST 2012 in Warsaw

3.      Proposals and suggestions


1. MODEST 2010 meeting in Bydgoszcz and publication therefrom

The last MODEST Workshop took place, traditionally affiliated with the bi-annual BOS conference, BOS 2010, on September 20-22 (Monday through Wednesday) 2010 in Bydgoszcz, an important city in central-northern Poland (some 200 km to the North of Warsaw). This (broader) meeting was organised jointly with the Systems Research Institute of the Polish Academy of Sciences and the University of Technical and Natural Sciences in Bydgoszcz. The themes, envisaged for the MODEST meeting were:

   "ICT and (local) development" - largely based on the already existing bilateral Polish-French cooperation, but, of course, all of those interested were invited to join

   "Banking & finance: trust, connectivity and resilience" - against the background of the recent and the currently looming international crises, but not only...

  "Environment & economy: getting rid of paradoxes, political agenda and the dirt?" - have we learned anything new as of late?

The Workshop brought very interesting presentations and discussions, which extended well beyond the very location in Bydgoszcz into the trains between Bydgoszcz and Warsaw. In particular, the idea of trying to set up an international project was considered as a serious undertaking for MODEST. It should be added that discussions during the Workshop, besides the three themes above, concentrated also on the subject of culture as the essential condition for the character and quality of the development and transition paths.

The publication from the meeting appeared as an English language issue of a Polish periodical Studies and Proceedings – Polish Association for Knowledge Management, no. 34, guest-edited by Jan W. Owsiński, under the title of: MODEST: MODelling of Economies & Societies in Transition – ICT and its impacts – economy – environment – patterns in management, 2010, 118 pages. ISSN 1732-324X. The issue contains the following papers:

Amel Attour and Christian Longhi: Local innovation policies in services: the role of municipalities in the implementation of e-government

Jan W. Owsiński, Aneta M. Pielak, Krzysztof Sęp and Rafał Ponichtera: TIROLS: local Web-based networks centred on self-governmental websites vs. local activity – a project outline

Helena Lindskog, Staffan Brege and Per Olof Brehmer: Consequences of electronic public procurement

Ken Morita and Yun Chen: Transition, disparity and efficiency: on the Yangtze River Delta models of transition

Jan Gadomski and Zbigniew Nahorski: Impact of the emission limiting policy on technological conversion and macroeconomic structure

Piotr Wojewnik and Kamil Zarychto: The impact of happiness capital on economic growth

Wojciech Kozłowski and Piotr Piękoś: Identification of simple monetary policy rules with the use of heuristic methods of data analysis

Artur Płuska and Przemysław Szufel: Determinants of the maturity structure of the public securities issuance

Agnieszka Główka, Justyna Jodis and Tomasz Szapiro: Generation of decision rules binding managers’ remuneration and firms’ financial efficiency

If your are interested in receiving the issue for the mailing cost only, please, address Jan Owsiński, who shall transmit the request to the journal office.



2. Invitation to MODEST 2012 in Warsaw


The subsequent MODEST Workshop shall take place in Warsaw, on September 17th-19th, 2012 (Monday through Wednesday), at Palais Staszic, in the very heart of historical city core. It will be, as usual, affiliated with the bi-annual BOS Conference of the Polish Operational and Systems Research Society, BOS 2012. We would like to run the Workshop as a series of sessions within the BOS conference, gaining through interaction with this broader forum.


The proposed themes for the Workshop – not precluding any other issue, pertaining to modelling and analysis of the transformation phenomena – are (i) the continuing crisis and its impact for the transforming economies (and, indeed, the more general transformations needed); (ii) the actual status and role of the information society / knowledge economy paradigms under different change circumstances; and (iii) the summary net impact and mechanisms of the greening of economy.


We indeed look forward to your active contributions and participation in the event.


3. Proposals and suggestions

In addition to the themes for the upcoming MODEST Workshop, we return to the possible subjects of jopint work within the MODEST community. Thus, in the previous Newsletters we forwarded some suggestions concerning the potential fields of collaboration, e.g. within the framework of bilateral or European projects. We come back herewith to these ideas, with additional information and one more domain of potential joint work. Let us emphasise that in all those fields not only definite research work is, of course, being carried out, but, actually, some collaborative work is, as well, underway.

These activities, and the related ideas, concentrate around the following four themes (which, of course, do by no means limit the potential scope of concepts for future collaborative work):

  modeling for the evaluation of the consequences of and design of changes in the Common Agricultural Policy; there are already a number of models that supposedly do the job, but what virtually all of them lack is the micro- or landscape, or community dimension (or, at a bare minimum – the one of a municipality); on the other hand there is also a gap on the real macro scale meaning aggregate effects for the EU and the world; in conditions of the current crisis the knowledge of potential consequences of various policies and instruments at the scale of the real processes, and not only somewhat abstract aggregates, becomes even more important;

  assessing and modeling the role of ICT in development (place and role in the feedback loop), especially in terms of development dynamics from various starting points, and the possibility of short-cuts; here, as well, the local and regional dimension is of importance; again, this applies equally to the macro- and the real micro- dimensions, in economic and spatial terms;

  modeling the consequences of policies related to the “green paths”, and the possibility of making (or leaving open and effectively available) the truly “optimum” choices and avoiding the “green paradoxes”, without bearing too much of economic and social costs that would impair short- and medium-term competitiveness; this involves an intricate interplay of time horizons, investment and risk, mainly associated with energy; the recent events on the world scene, oil prices and global-warming-related undertakings included, show it very clearly that the respective models are indeed necessary, and, at that, a variety of them, that could grasp the different aspects and perspectives on these issues;

  development of the methodologies related to decision making under uncertainty in situations of emergency, with the use of decision rules, decision trees, fuzzy and intuitionistic logic, and respective linguistic representations; this set of methodological tools might be of high value in devising decision support systems for the high-risk operations with limited information and high uncertainty.

Should you be interested in collaboration on these themes, or in coining other ones of potential interest to members of MODEST, please, contact us about it.



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